Jag köpte aktier i BP 15 000 kr vilket adderar 750 kr årligen i utdelning. Det är tänkt att jag ska bygga upp posten ytterligare under året men börjar lite försiktigt då jag vill sprida inköpen till flera tillfällen. BP har jag berört tidigare här på bloggen i ett par inlägg.
BP behöver nå en överenskommelse kring oljekatastrofen för att kunna gå vidare och för att en uppvärdering ska ske.
Jag läste en intressant analys för några dagar sedan från Bank of America (hittar ingen länk utan denna är inklippt från ett engelskt aktieforum).
"BP plc- BUY
BPAQF; GBP 459; C-1-7
BP; USD 44.040000; C-1-7
We are hosting a conference call tomorrow at 3pm with our Special situations and Derivatives desks to look at strategies on how to trade the impending conclusion of BP's Macondo oil spill liabilities. As a reminder, BP now has a civil case outstanding against it, with a court hearing due to start on February 25th. The importance of the case is two fold in our view. Firstly it could substantially establish whether BP was grossly negligent with respect to the incident and thus help define the size of BP's remaining liabilities with respect to the Macondo oil spill and secondly, largely bring to an end the Macondo overhang on BP's shares. As we have long stated, we believe it unlikely BP would be found grossly negligent as numerous government inquiries and reports have placed the blame of several parties. As such, we feel BP could reach a settlement prior to the start of the court case. We believe our view is further supported by the recent out of court settlement between the Department of Justice and Transocean, which did not require Transocean to plead gross negligence.
In our view, BP shares are now discounting c. US$30bn for the outstanding litigation. AS such, we believe a US$15bn settlement would provide the shares with 10% upside just on the basis of shares rerating (on a P/E basis) back in line with sector peers. Furthermore, in the case of a settlement, we believe the shares would also benefit from the removal of the litigation overhang, allowing the underlying equity story to come to the fore. In our view, the key risk here is that BP does not settle ahead of the court date, in which case we would expect to see some downside pressure on the shares.
As a reminder, BP remains one of our top picks amongst the European oils, having one of the most attractive equity stories amongst the European oils; underpinned by: (1) its portfolio of high margin production growth; (2) Significant earnings upside potential in Russia following the deal with Rosneft; (3) the potential to announce a US$5bn plus buy back programme to start in 2H13 and (4) The potential to deliver c.60% dividend growth by 2016. With the shares trading at a 16% discount to peers on 2014E P/E and offering a competitive 5.2% 2013E dividend yield, we reiterate our Buy recommendation"
Utöver inköpet i BP så ackumulerar jag likvida medel för att göra ett större inköp i Immofinanz.
Vad köper Ni just nu?